January 5, 2026

2026 US Housing Market Forecast: Will the Market Find Its Footing?

Will 2026 be the year buyers stop waiting? Forecasters are split, predicting anywhere from 1.7%1 to 14%2 growth in home sales. That 12-point gap reveals the central question facing the housing market: how much will slightly lower mortgage rates and slowly eroding lock-in effects actually unlock pent-up demand?


Nearly every major forecaster agrees the market will be more active than 2025. But beyond that consensus, predictions diverge sharply on pace and scale. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) expects robust 14% sales growth. Realtor.com sees a modest 1.7% bump. Both could be right for different markets and price points.


For anyone planning to buy, sell, or simply understand their home equity position in 2026, these diverging forecasts matter less than the underlying fundamentals. Mortgage rates should settle slightly lower. Inventory will improve modestly. Prices will continue rising, though more slowly than recent years. The market is thawing. More importantly, the housing market appears to be returning to the pace and rhythm of more normal conditions after the artificial volatility of the pandemic era.


The 2025 Context: Why the Market Stayed Frozen


The 2025 housing market disappointed. Mortgage rates remained stubbornly above 6.5%, suppressing demand and keeping transaction volumes near historic lows.8 As of mid-2025, more than 80% of U.S. homeowners hold mortgage rates below 6%, reinforcing the lock-in effect that has kept many would-be sellers on the sidelines.³


Affordability challenges reached acute levels. The typical first-time buyer aged to 40 years old4, reflecting simple math that monthly payments at elevated rates and prices pushed homeownership out of reach for younger buyers. The market did not crash but did not heal either, with overall transaction volume remaining constrained.


2026 Predictions: Where Forecasters Agree and Disagree


Mortgage Rates: Consensus on Modest Improvement


Forecasters agree broadly on mortgage rate trajectories. Expectations cluster tightly in the 6.0% to 6.4% range, representing modest but meaningful improvement from 2025 levels.



2026 Mortgage Rate Forecasts

This narrow range suggests forecasters see similar Federal Reserve policy paths ahead. While rates in the low 6% range remain elevated by recent standards, they represent improvement that could make a difference for buyers.


The more important question is whether this modest decline triggers meaningful market activity. A drop from 7% to 6.5% means little if buyers continue waiting for 5% or sellers remain locked in at 3%. The National Association of Realtors estimates that a drop to 6% could unlock 5.5 million additional buyers, including 1.6 million renters.2 But the forecasters’ disagreements on sales volume reveal uncertainty about how big an impact lower rates will have. 


Existing Home Sales: The Uncertainty Factor


Existing home sales projections for 2026 show far more variation than mortgage rate predictions, reflecting different assumptions about how quickly the market thaws.


2026 Existing Home Sales Forecasts

This wide range from 1.7% to 14% growth reveals genuine uncertainty about buyer and seller behavior. Will homeowners with 3% mortgages finally accept that rates around 6% represent the new baseline? Will life changes like job relocations, family adjustments, or divorces finally outweigh the financial cost of giving up low rates?


The trajectory depends on several key factors working together. The lock-in effect must continue eroding. As long as a significant percentage of homeowners hold mortgages well below current rates, many will choose to stay put, but this effect will continue to decline as more homeowners reach the threshold where life circumstances outweigh rate considerations.


Buyers also need to shift psychologically from waiting for rates to return to the artificial levels of 2020 toward accepting 6% as normal. Many prospective buyers spent the past two years waiting for dramatic rate declines. However, with 6%-7% now normalized and rates expected to drop further next year, buyers may decide to reenter the market. 


Additionally, employment and income stability provide the foundation for both buyer confidence and seller flexibility. Job gains and wage growth give more buyers the financial capacity to proceed with purchases despite elevated rates. Several forecasters expect slowing price growth combined with continued income gains to gradually improve affordability in 2026.1 Any weakening in employment conditions would likely push sales toward the lower end of forecasts, while sustained strength supports higher volumes.


Even modest changes in interest rates or consumer psychology could swing actual sales significantly within this forecast range. The wide spread reflects genuine uncertainty about these behavioral factors rather than disagreement about underlying economic fundamentals.


Home Prices: Continued Appreciation Expected


All major forecasters predict continued home price appreciation in 2026, though projections cluster in a relatively narrow band between 0.5% and 4% growth.


2026 Home Price Growth Forecasts

*Based on Q2 2025 median price of $410,800


The relatively narrow range of price forecasts—compared with wider variation in sales volume projections—suggests greater agreement on price direction than on transaction activity. While sales volumes remain uncertain, supply-demand fundamentals continue to support prices.


Housing inventory remains below levels associated with a balanced market, reflecting years of underbuilding relative to household formation. These supply constraints continue to support prices even as transaction volumes remain lower.


Existing homeowners are generally in strong financial positions, with substantial equity accumulated in recent years. This limits forced sales and allows many move-up buyers to deploy equity toward down payments, helping sustain prices, particularly in higher-priced segments.


Price growth expectations for 2026 are modest compared with recent years. The projected appreciation reflects a return to more historically typical growth rates rather than the elevated gains seen during the pandemic period.


What This Means for Buyers


For prospective homebuyers, 2026 presents a complex environment requiring careful evaluation of affordability constraints against the reality that waiting may not yield significantly better conditions.


Accepting the New Rate Reality


Mortgage rates are expected to settle in the 6.0% to 6.4% range in 2026, representing modest improvement from 2025 but remaining well above the unusually low levels seen during the pandemic. Rates below 3% were driven by emergency monetary policy and are unlikely to return in the near term. Buyers waiting for a drop to 4% or 5% may need to recalibrate expectations, as current forecasts suggest low-to-mid-6% rates are closer to a new baseline. Planning purchases around these levels provides a more realistic framework, with refinancing remaining an option if rates fall further in later years.


Improved Supply and Buyer Leverage


While housing supply remains below long-term balanced levels, inventory has improved compared with recent years, giving buyers more options and greater flexibility.1 Days on market have lengthened, bidding wars are less common, and sellers are generally more open to contingencies, repairs, and concessions.5 Competition persists for well-priced homes in desirable locations—particularly during spring and summer—but overall market conditions are less frenetic than during the pandemic surge.


Pricing and Competition Dynamics


Home prices are still expected to rise modestly, with forecasts ranging from 0.5% to 4% growth nationally. This means waiting may not lead to meaningfully lower prices, even as rates improve slightly. However, slower appreciation reduces urgency and allows buyers to be more selective. Homes priced appropriately should continue to sell, but overpricing carries greater risk as buyers gain more alternatives. The market increasingly rewards patience, preparation, and informed offer strategies rather than speed alone.


First-Time Buyer Challenges


First-time buyers continue to face the steepest hurdles in 2026. The median age of a first-time buyer has risen to 40 years old4, underscoring how affordability pressures, higher down payment requirements, and elevated mortgage rates have delayed entry into homeownership for many households. Even with modest improvements in rates and inventory, upfront costs and monthly payments remain significant barriers, particularly for buyers without existing equity.


That said, conditions may ease slightly compared with 2025. Slower price growth and incremental rate declines reduce some pressure, while increased inventory offers more choice and less competition than in recent years. Low-down-payment programs, co-buying arrangements with family or friends, and targeting more affordable submarkets can help bridge the gap. While first-time buyers still face meaningful challenges, the 2026 market offers greater flexibility and less urgency than the peak pandemic period, making preparation and strategy more important than speed.


What This Means for Sellers


For homeowners considering a sale in 2026, market conditions remain generally favorable—but seller leverage is no longer uniform. Outcomes increasingly depend on location, price tier, and property condition. Well-priced, move-in-ready homes in desirable areas continue to attract strong interest, while properties that are overpriced or require significant work face longer marketing times and greater buyer resistance.


Evaluating the Mortgage Rate Trade-Off


The lock-in effect continues to influence seller decisions, but the calculation goes beyond comparing a 3% mortgage to a new loan at 6% or higher. Many homeowners now hold substantial equity that can offset higher borrowing costs, particularly for those downsizing, relocating to more affordable markets, or reducing overall housing expenses. Life events—job changes, family needs, or retirement—are increasingly outweighing rate considerations as sellers reassess priorities in a market where rates in the low-to-mid 6% range appear more durable.


Pricing Strategy


Accurate pricing is critical. Overpricing increases the risk of extended days on market, which can stigmatize listings and lead to eventual price reductions. Buyers in 2026 are more patient and better informed, with more alternatives available than in recent years. Sellers should rely on recent comparable sales and current local conditions rather than peak pandemic benchmarks. Homes priced correctly from the outset are more likely to sell efficiently and closer to asking price.


Concessions Are Becoming a Normal Tool


As affordability remains stretched for many buyers, seller concessions are playing a larger role in successful transactions. Closing cost credits, rate buydowns, and repair allowances are increasingly used to bridge gaps without cutting headline prices. These tools allow sellers to remain competitive while helping buyers manage monthly payments and upfront costs. In many markets, concessions are not a sign of weakness but a practical response to current financing realities.


Preparation and Presentation Are Decisive


With inventory higher than in recent years, presentation matters again. Homes in excellent condition command stronger interest and pricing premiums, while properties needing repairs are more likely to linger. Minor improvements—fresh paint, deferred maintenance, professional cleaning, and quality photography—can materially affect outcomes. Pre-listing inspections can also reduce surprises during escrow and improve buyer confidence. In a more balanced market, preparation often determines whether a home sells quickly or requires multiple price adjustments.


What This Means for Renters


For households choosing—or needing—to rent in 2026, the decision remains largely pragmatic. While rent growth has slowed in many markets, homeownership costs remain elevated due to prices and mortgage rates in the low-to-mid 6% range. In much of the country, renting continues to offer lower monthly costs and greater flexibility, particularly for households without substantial savings or with uncertain time horizons.


The rent-versus-buy decision in 2026 depends heavily on location, finances, and length of stay. Modest home price appreciation suggests waiting may not result in lower purchase prices, but renting can still make sense for those prioritizing mobility or avoiding financial overextension. Ownership builds equity and stabilizes long-term housing costs, while renting preserves optionality in a market still adjusting to higher rates.


For renters who aspire to buy, 2026 may be best viewed as a preparation period rather than a holding pattern. Strengthening credit, building savings, reducing debt, and monitoring target markets can materially improve future buying power. For others, continuing to rent remains a rational choice, not a failure to “time the market.” In a market defined by normalization rather than disruption, aligning housing decisions with personal circumstances matters more than forcing a transition to ownership.


Conclusion: A Market in Transition


The 2026 housing market is defined less by dramatic change than by gradual normalization. Mortgage rates are expected to remain in the low-to-mid 6% range, sales activity may improve modestly, and home prices are projected to rise at a slower, more historically typical pace. The volatility of the pandemic era has faded, replaced by a market driven more by income growth, supply constraints, and household needs.


For buyers, sellers, and renters, success in 2026 depends less on timing the market and more on adapting to it. Buyers gain more choice and negotiating room but face ongoing affordability challenges. Sellers still benefit from limited supply, but pricing discipline and preparation matter more. Renters continue to balance flexibility against long-term ownership goals. With rates unlikely to return to pandemic lows and prices expected to hold, the market rewards realistic expectations, financial readiness, and decisions grounded in personal circumstances rather than predictions of dramatic shifts.





References


1. Realtor.com
https://www.realtor.com/news/trends/housing-forecast-2026-mortgage-rates-affordability-improves/

2. NAR Real Estate Forecast Summit
https://www.nar.realtor/events/nar-real-estate-forecast-summit

3. RealtorMag
https://www.realtor.com/news/trends/mortgage-rates-below-6-percent-august-2025/

4. National Association of Realtors (NAR). (2025, November). First-Time Home Buyer Share Falls to Historic Low of 21%, Median Age Rises to 40. https://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/first-time-home-buyer-share-falls-to-historic-low-of-21-median-age-rises-to-40

5. Zillow
https://www.zillow.com/research/2026-housing-predictions-35800/

6. MBA 
https://www.mba.org/news-and-research/newsroom/news/2025/10/19/mba-forecast--total-single-family-mortgage-originations-to-increase-8-percent-to--2.2-trillion-in-2026

7. FannieMae 
https://www.fanniemae.com/media/56451/display

8. NAR
https://www.nar.realtor/sites/default/files/2025-11/ehs-10-2025-summary-2025-11-20.pdf

April 1, 2026
For a long time, multigenerational living had a reputation problem. It was the option families turned to when something had gone wrong — a job loss, a divorce, a health crisis. Moving back in with your parents, or having your parents move in with you, meant something hadn't worked out. That story has changed pretty significantly. Today, families are choosing this arrangement on purpose — not as a fallback, but as a deliberate decision to share costs, stay connected, and build something that actually works for how their lives are structured right now. According to NAR, 14% of buyers recently purchased a multigenerational home, and the year before that hit 17%. [1] These aren't people making the best of a bad situation. They're rethinking what "home" needs to do. If this is something you're considering — or something a family member has brought up — here's what's worth knowing before you start the search. Why More Families Are Going This Route The honest answer is: it's rarely just one thing. For most families, cost is somewhere in the mix. Buying together means more income earners on the loan, more people splitting the mortgage, and a monthly payment that's easier to justify. But if you talk to families who've actually done it, the financial piece rarely tells the whole story. Caregiving comes up constantly. Nearly half of multigenerational buyers in NAR's research cited caring for or wanting to be near aging parents as a primary reason for the purchase. [1][4] For older millennials in particular, aging-parent health and caretaking responsibilities were a major driver. That's not a trend that's going away — there are now more than 70 million Americans age 65 or older, and the question of how families want to handle that isn't one most people want to outsource entirely. [2] Remote work has also quietly changed the math. When you're not tethered to an office, living near family becomes less of a sacrifice. You can be close without it costing you professionally, which is a relatively new dynamic. [3] And then there's the harder-to-quantify stuff — the daily support, the shared routines, the sense that you're not navigating things alone. For families with young kids, having grandparents nearby can be transformative. For families with aging parents, so can having adult children close. The point is: if you find yourself drawn to this idea, you're in good company, and your reasons are probably more layered than just the numbers. What to Actually Look for in a Property This is where a lot of families get tripped up. They find a house they love, start imagining how it could work, and convince themselves the layout is more flexible than it really is. Then six months into living together, they realize what they actually needed was a separate entrance, not just a second bathroom. The properties that work best for multigenerational living tend to share a few things in common. They take privacy seriously. Not just in theory, but in the layout. Dual primary suites, separate entrances, a finished basement with its own sitting area, or a detached guest house — these aren't luxury features, they're what make the arrangement actually sustainable. If each household can't fully decompress, host their own guests, and keep their own rhythm, the togetherness part gets old fast. Home design professionals increasingly flag this as the most important feature to get right, and it's easy to see why. [5][6] They're built — or can be converted — for flexibility. ADUs (accessory dwelling units) have become a serious part of this conversation as more cities loosen zoning restrictions. A detached ADU gives you the ultimate setup: close enough to matter, separate enough to breathe. If an ADU isn't already in place, it's worth asking whether the lot and local zoning would allow for one down the road. [5][6] They work for the long game. Think about where everyone in the arrangement will be in ten or fifteen years. First-floor suites, wider hallways, zero-step entries, and rooms that can adapt as needs change aren't just nice to have — they're what make a multigenerational home function well over time rather than just right now. [6][7] The short version: the best multigenerational properties support both togetherness and independence. If a home checks one but not the other, keep looking. The Conversations Most Families Skip Here's the part that tends to get glossed over, because the emotional pull of the idea is strong and the practical details feel like they can wait. They can't. Start with the financial structure early. If multiple people will be on the loan, everyone needs to understand what that actually means. Co-borrowers can combine income and assets to qualify for more — but they also share legal responsibility for the debt and share in whatever equity the home builds. That's meaningfully different from being a co-signer, who carries the liability but doesn't own a piece of the property. Knowing which structure makes sense for your family is a conversation to have with a lender before you fall in love with a house. [8] Define ownership clearly. There are several ways to structure who owns what — joint tenancy, tenancy in common, shared-equity arrangements — and each one affects what happens if someone wants to sell, refinance, or passes away. Equal contributions don't automatically mean equal ownership makes sense, and unequal contributions don't mean anyone is getting a bad deal. But these things need to be spelled out explicitly, not assumed. [8] Get it in writing. A verbal agreement between family members feels fine when everyone is on the same page. It gets complicated when circumstances change — and circumstances always change eventually. A written agreement that covers shared expenses, maintenance responsibilities, common areas, and how exits would be handled gives everyone protection and, honestly, usually makes the conversations easier because you've already had them. [9] Talk through the "what-ifs" before closing. Job relocations, caregiving shifts, a marriage, someone wanting to sell — these aren't worst-case scenarios, they're just life. The way a home is titled can affect everything from Medicaid eligibility to how inheritance plays out. It's worth a conversation with an estate planning attorney or real estate attorney before you close, not after. [9] This stuff isn't fun to work through. But families who do it upfront tend to have far smoother experiences than those who assume it'll all work itself out. Is This Actually the Right Move? That depends on a few honest questions. Is everyone genuinely choosing this, or is someone going along with it? The families who thrive in multigenerational arrangements almost always went in with shared intent — everyone wanted it, everyone understood what they were agreeing to. That's different from one party tolerating it because the math made sense or because it felt like the easier thing to say yes to. Are the financial expectations clear and actually fair? Not just the down payment, but ongoing contributions, equity stakes, and what happens if someone needs to exit. These things are much easier to define before the purchase than to renegotiate afterward. Does everyone have a realistic picture of what shared space feels like day-to-day, long-term? Not on a good weekend when everyone's happy to be together — but on a random Tuesday when someone's had a bad day, the kids are loud, and you just want your house to yourself for an hour. If the answers to those questions are honest and mostly positive, multigenerational living can be genuinely great. The data backs that up. So do plenty of real families who've made it work. BOTTOMLINE Multigenerational living has moved from fallback plan to deliberate strategy for a growing number of families — and it's easy to understand why. The financial upside is real, the caregiving benefits are real, and when it's set up well, the emotional rewards are too. What makes it work is going in with eyes open: the right property, the right legal structure, and honest conversations before anyone signs anything. If this is something your family is exploring — or if it's on the horizon and you're not sure where to start — that's exactly the kind of conversation a good agent can help you think through. Getting the strategy right early makes everything that follows a lot smoother. Reach out anytime — even if you're just starting to think it through. Sources 1. National Association of REALTORS® — Making Extra Room at the Table: Multi-Generational Homes in the United States https://www.nar.realtor/blogs/economists-outlook/making-extra-room-at-the-table-multi-generational-homes-in-the-united-states 2. National Association of REALTORS® — The "Silver Tsunami" in Real Estate Is Here: Are You Ready? https://www.nar.realtor/magazine/real-estate-news/the-silver-tsunami-in-real-estate-is-here-are-you-ready 3. U.S. Census Bureau — New U.S. Census Bureau Data Show Detailed Characteristics of Home-Based Workers https://www.census.gov/library/stories/2025/01/work-from-home-inequalities.html 4. National Association of REALTORS® — One Big Happy Household: How Families and the Data Are Shaping Multigenerational Living https://www.nar.realtor/blogs/economists-outlook/one-big-happy-household-how-families-and-the-data-are-shaping-multigenerational-living 5. Better Homes & Gardens — Multigenerational Living Will Define the Future of Home Design, According to Thumbtack and Redfin https://www.bhg.com/thumbtack-redfin-home-design-report-2026-11869197 6. The House Plan Company — How 2025 Is Redefining Multigenerational Home Design https://www.thehouseplancompany.com/blog/how-2025-is-redefining-multigenerational-home-design/ 7. National Association of REALTORS® — All Under One Roof: Trends in Multigenerational Living https://www.nar.realtor/magazine/real-estate-news/home-and-design/all-under-one-roof-trends-in-multigenerational-living 8. The Mortgage Reports — How to Buy a House With Your Parents https://themortgagereports.com/77007/buying-a-home-with-parents-or-child 9. Elder Law Answers — Home Ownership When Parents and Adult Children Live Together https://www.elderlawanswers.com/what-are-the-house-ownership-options-when-parents-and-adult-children-live-together-14484
March 24, 2026
The playbook for selling a home has changed fast. Active housing inventory rose more than 16% year-over-year in 2025, and 62% of homebuyers paid below the original list price—the highest share since 2019. The average discount hit 7.9%, the biggest in over a decade. What does that mean for sellers? The days of putting a home on the MLS, snapping a few photos, and waiting for offers are over. Today's buyers are more informed, more cautious, and more willing to walk away. The listings that win are the ones that eliminate friction at every stage. Here is what that actually looks like. Know What the 2026 Buyer Is Filtering For Today's buyer is thinking about what a home will cost them after they buy it. According to the 2026 Design Trends Report, 86% of buyers say flexible layouts help them see past square footage. Dedicated home offices, walk-in pantries, and multipurpose rooms now outweigh raw size. Nearly half of buyers say they will not buy a home that does not feel right the moment they walk in. Energy efficiency is being evaluated as a financial hedge against utility costs, climate risk, and future insurability. Terms like "zero-energy ready" and "home battery system" are appearing far more frequently in buyer searches. Sellers who position features like updated HVAC systems, new windows, or solar panels as cost-saving assets have a clear advantage. What does it mean for you? Win the Screen Before You Win the Showing The online listing is the first showing. By the time a buyer walks through the front door, they have already decided they are interested—or they have scrolled past. 85% of homebuyers consider listing photos the most critical factor when evaluating a property online. Not the price. Not the description. The photo. Listings with professional photography receive up to 61% more views and sell 32% faster Twilight photos used as the primary listing image average 76% more views Listings with video get 403% more inquiries Listings with 3D virtual tours sell up to 31% faster and for up to 9% more These are not small edges—they are the differences that help a listing generate momentum. What does it mean for you? Remove Every Reason to Say "No" In a slower market, uncertainty creates lower offers—or no offers. Every unanswered question is a reason to negotiate down or walk away. The smartest move is to answer the scary questions before they are asked. That starts with a pre-listing inspection. For $300 to $800, a seller can identify and address issues on their own timeline and terms, before a buyer's inspector turns a minor finding into a deal-killing negotiation. Home inspections are the number one reason deals fall apart today. In mid-2025, 15% of pending sales fell through—above the 12% historical norm—largely because financially stretched buyers will not absorb surprise repair costs. What does it mean for you? Price It Right or Pay the Price Overpriced listings don't just sit longer—they sell for less than if they had been priced correctly from the start. 39% of all listings nationwide had price reductions in 2025. The typical home sold for nearly 4% under its asking price during peak season, the steepest discount in six years. A listing's visibility and buyer interest peak immediately after launch. Pricing high to see what happens is dangerous: Every week of inactivity makes the next correction less effective Multiple small reductions signal desperation and train buyers to wait for the next drop A single strategic correction, aggressive enough to restart the clock, is almost always more effective Pricing correctly from day one is not conservative—it is strategic. What does it mean for you? The New Definition of a Winning Listing The 2026 winner is not the cheapest or the biggest. It is the most ready. The difference between a home that moves and one that sits often comes down to strategy, not the property itself. What does it mean for you? We're Here to Guide You If you are thinking about selling—or if you have a listing that is not performing the way you expected—let's talk. A strategic approach to pricing, presentation, and preparation can make all the difference in today's market. This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute professional real estate advice. Market conditions vary by location and individual circumstances. Always consult with a licensed real estate professional before making decisions about buying or selling property.  Sources HousingWire – The U.S. Housing Market in 2025 Redfin – Homebuyers Are Scoring the Biggest Discounts in 13 Years Better Homes & Gardens Real Estate – 2026 Design Trends Report Redfin – Why 15% of Home Sales Are Falling Apart HomeLight – What Buyers Want in a Home Zillow 2026 Home Trends Report PhotoUp – Real Estate Photography Statistics RubyHome – Real Estate Photography Statistics Matterport – 3D Tours Study Matterport – Property Buyers Prefer 3D Tours NAR Magazine – Pre-Listing Inspections CubiCasa – Real Estate Listing Trends in 2026 Redfin – Home Sellers Cutting Prices at Record Rate NAR Magazine – Listing Price Reduction Navigation
February 26, 2026
At the Vickie Landis Rentsel Team of Keller Williams Realty Group, we’re always looking for small ways to say thank you to our amazing clients and community. That’s why we’re excited to host a FREE Community Shredding Event this spring! If you have old tax returns, bank statements, medical paperwork, or other sensitive documents piling up at home, this is the perfect opportunity to safely and securely dispose of them. ⸻ Why Shredding Matters Identity theft continues to be a growing concern, and one of the simplest ways to protect yourself is by properly destroying confidential documents. Items like: • Old tax documents • Credit card statements • Bank records • Medical paperwork • Pre-approved credit offers • Anything containing your Social Security number or account information Shredding these materials helps prevent personal information from falling into the wrong hands.